Royal Mezyan declared at Sandown Park : Form Guide

Dear All,

Royal Mezyan has been declared in the 5f handicap at Sandown Park on Saturday afternoon (2.35pm).

There are 13 runners in the 0-80 contest, he is well-drawn in stall 6 and Fran Berry has been booked to ride.

If you would like to attend on Saturday but haven’t yet applied for a badge, please send an email to nathaniel.barnett@select-racing-club.co.uk by 11.00am tomorrow.

Please see below the exclusive SRC form guide for Saturday’s race:

1.  Kasbah – Better known for his AW exploits and just 1-18 on turf, that win coming in a 2yo maiden back in 2014.  Did go close here last summer off a 6lbs higher mark, but wide draw far from ideal for this prominent racer and has been off since February.  However, fact handicapper has dropped him 6lbs since means he can’t be discounted.

2.  Super Julius – Dual winner over the minimum last summer and back to the same mark now.  However, bled when last at Epsom in the Dash last time and, having failed to beat a rival home on his previous start too, he is hard to put forward from a wide draw.

3.  Rio Ronaldo – Nabbed Royal Mezyan in the final strides in this corresponding race last year, having travelled very strongly through the contest.  Now 11lbs worse off, but is himself down to a good mark and signs he was coming to form when fourth at Goodwood last time.  Big chance if getting the breaks.

4.  Delagate This Lord – Looked limited prior to joining this yard last term and form suddenly took off, winning three in a row between June and September.  Looks capable of regaining the winning thread soon, having run an excellent race in defeat at Windsor last time, though draw not ideal.

5.  Shamshon – On a losing streak of 17, but as a consequence he arrives here on a career-low mark and, having won off 10lbs higher last term and with good form at the track, on fast ground and a decent draw too, he appeals as one of the likelier ones, especially with Jim Crowley (who won on him last year) back on board.

6.  Babyfact – Good record for one of her ability, her seven successes including one over this CD – indeed, a stiff 5f looks ideal, given five of her over six successes half come over five and a half at Bath.  However, remains 7lbs above last winning mark and didn’t show enough at Windsor in April to suggest she will be winning this.

7.  Wiley Post – Lightly-raced for his age, but back to winning ways when successful at Windsor in April and probably unlucky not to win back there last time.  Big chance off the same mark if he can replicate the form here (11 of 19 starts have been at Windsor).

8.  Desert Ace – Yard going well and has a great record with these older sprinters.  Joined from Iain Jardine late last year and off the mark for new connections on penultimate start at Beverley, before finding class 2 company (from 6lbs out of the handicap) too much at York last time.  Has won here in the past, Kirby an interesting booking and could go very well.

9.  Jashma – In great form during a busy campaign last year, in the first two on seven of ten starts on turf, winning three of them, including over CD.  has run with credit on three of four starts this term and one to consider, though perhaps vulnerable for win purposes from this mark.

10.  Madame Bounty – Dual winner on fast ground last summer, but has finished last on three of latest four starts, including on reappearance at Ascot in May.  Others preferred.

11.  Island Of Life – Maiden after four starts, two of them for Godolphin last year and two for this yard in 2018, only managing third when a hot favourite at Nottingham last time.  Remains capable of better after just four career starts, but this won’t be an easy test up against seasoned sprinters.

12.  ROYAL MEZYAN

13.  Roundabout Magic – Does most of his running on the AW, but is capable on turf, winning at Brighton last month.  Only 4th of 5 on return there on Monday though and hard to see him winning in this grade.

 

VERDICT: Not sure this is the strongest of races for the grade, though as ever at Sandown it has a competitive feel to it.  Last year’s winner Rio Ronaldo looks to have a great chance if getting the gaps, with Shamshon another to make plenty of appeal.  Wiley Post and Desert Ace are others to consider.

 

RECOMMENDED BET: Royal Mezyan was second in this race last year off an 8lbs higher mark and he has plenty in his favour, with ground, track and draw all suitable.  He’ll need a good pace to chase and will need cover and then the gaps to come, so it’s fair to say we’ll need some luck!  However, he signalled at a return to form last time and, if the breaks do go his way, he has an each-way squeak at what should be a good price.

1pt each-way Royal Mezyan

0.5pts combination exacta 3-5-12

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